Encontré esencial su explicación de Bayes y las teorías de la complejidad para pronosticar la crisis financiera, SDR como el nuevo dinero del FMI, que puede reemplazar a todas las monedas después del colapso. some interesting insights as to what seem likely actions in the next crisis, in particular in the freezing of assets department for purposes of extra taxation/confiscation based on ruling needs. Here too, though one might be tempted to dismiss the author as a conspiracy theorist one finds the same issues being treated in very serious circles (even public papers: IMF, FED, ECB, BIS and the politics around them including the media communication strategy to prepare the masses for these events), though of course on a different tone as rational solutions to guiding the masses into desired outcomes. This book is the economic theory book I've been looking for all my post-Keens life (misspelling intentional). I was so excited to see Bayes' theorem show up in there, too. I'll probably forget most of the details, but the book really added to my grand understanding of how the economy functions.

Droga do Ruiny - Niska cena na Allegro.pl

In the world economical and financial system, there is always a rise and fall. And the fall is always the hardest.A financial crisis is certainly coming. In “The Road to Ruin,” I use 2018 as a target date and device because the two prior systemic crises, 1998 and 2008, were 10 years apart. I extended the timeline 10 years into the future from the 2008 crisis to maintain the 10-year tempo, and this is how I arrived at 2018. Yet I make the point in the book that the exact date is unimportant. What is most important is that the crisis is coming and the time to prepare is now. It could happen in 2018, 2019, or it could happen tomorrow. The conditions for collapse are all in place." The Road to Ruin is quite simply a cutting-edge account of the current economic situation, and stands high on several strengths. The third part is about the problem of free trade which has decimated the American middle class. He suggests that tariffs of 30% be slapped on all imports, all corporate tax scrapped, and minimum wage be raised. He argues that this will benefit America, and will stop mercantilist countries from profiting from their currency war. The term "Ice Nine" comes from science fiction here it seemed overused. Sometimes applied to guaranteed instruments, and sometimes to equities. Generally reflecting market contagion, peppered with conspiracy theory. Bank failures in Iceland and Cyprus were portrayed as terrible injustices perpetrated by governments. There may be a case to be made, but the government didn't take the money. There were several cases like this where the drama seemed to be overdone. With the amount of debt that is likely to go sour in the future, I felt the hyperbole did the case a disservice because I expect the truth of future write-downs to be very painful.

Droga do ruiny Tajny plan globalnego kryzysu finansowego

He kind of puts himself in the same boat as you/us way down on the 'rich pole', but then also tells you how he interacts with his rich friends or powerful leaders. I'm not begrudging him that. It's just kind of comical and a little awkward when he throws in where they are dining and on what, as if he is just a regular, social guy in the midst of this very serious situation. there's a lot of talk about complexity theory, which i think is mostly right both in essence and in nice examples, howeeeever it feels overdone and used too much in a religious ways instead of more complex reasonings/maybe data that he can't afford to release so he's trying to talk around the edges? He started as someone working in the financial sector and later studied and learned physics and higher mathematics, which he was then able to apply to modeling the markets, something he at one point did for the CIA to help them try to find terrorists based on financial transactions. He was working in the financial industry during some of the crashes he described, gaining insight into how the different banks and other organizations work. He has advised and spoken with high ranking government and bank officials. He has testified before Congress. Complexity does not increase in a linear manner. If the size of the systems doubles then the number of interactions quadruples etc.The global elites don’t want this book to exist. Their plan to herd us like sheep to the slaughter when a global crisis erupts—and, of course, to maintain their wealth—works only if we remain complacent and unaware. Thanks to The Road to Ruin, we don’t need to be.